Baseball Betting System #1
Baseball Betting Tactics #2
Baseball Betting Tips #3
Strategy in Baseball Betting #4
System Approach in Baseball Betting #5
Baseball Betting: Strategical Insight #6
Baseball Betting: Tactical Insight #7
Baseball Betting: System Approach #8
How To Bet On Baseball Strategically? #9

DAY 6, Saturday, May 17, 2003

Cincinnati (-130, Austin) at Milwaukee (+120, Rusch)
Result: Milwaukee 8, Cincinnati 6, for a $24 profit.
Philadelphia (+115, Duckworth) at Houston (-125, Linebank)
Result: Philadelphia 9, Houston 4, for a $23 profit.
Pittsburgh (+125, Torres) at Arizona (-130, Capuano)
Pittsburgh 8, Arizona 5, for a $25 profit.
Tampa Bay (+140, Gonzalez) at Baltimore (-150, Hentgen)
Result: Baltimore 2, Tampa Bay 0, for a $20 loss.
Oakland (-160, Halama) at Cleveland (+150, Rodriguez)
Occasionally, such as in this game, the underdog pitcher is ranked fairly high, in this case No. 28 in the AL. These games are usually particular bargains.
Result: Cleveland 4, Oakland 2, for a $30 profit.
Toronto (-120, Halladay) at Kansas City (+110, Affeldt)
Result: Toronto 4, Kansas City 2, for a $20 loss.
Anaheim (+110, Washburn) at Boston (-120, Lowe)
This is yet another example of when an underdog pitcher is ranked, this time No. 14!
Result: Anaheim 6, Boston 2, for a $22 profit.
Chicago White Sox (+130, Garland) at Minnesota (-140, Mays)
Because the favored pitcher is ranked No. 23, I’d pass on this pick but will include it for our example’s purposes.
Result: Minnesota 3, Chicago 1, for a $20 loss.
Texas (+215, Valdes) at New York Yankees (-235, Pettitte)
As I told in my last chapter, “the bookmakers overrate Yankee.” During this period of the season 2003, for instance, Yankee played baseball unusually bad. And Pettitte was at the worst point of his career, so it wasn’t a bad underdog’ game. But I am not going to include it in your gain. I show it here only for you to understand, that you should look over the numbers as logic sometimes can reject the “rules”.
Day
Underdog Record
Profit
“Unders” Record
Profit
Today’s Profit
Total Profit

6
5-3
$54
0-0
$0
$54
$191
This is not the day when you just choose underdogs, as I except the loss with Chicago, and include the win with Texas, which didn’t really fit our criteria. As the system is comfortable for you, you will obviously understand those things, when you move a little aside the rules.

When you visit the USA Today’s web site, you will notice that pitchers have been listed in American and National league separately; also you will notice that the pitchers were sorted according to the number of pitched innings. There quite much information about every listed pitcher, but first of all you should be interested in the first five columns, which shows the pitcher’ rank in general league, his name, his team, whether he is a right-handed player or a left-handed player, and his NPERA:

Rank
Name
Team
R/L
NPERA

#1
Mike Mussina
NYY
R
1.99

As the listed pitchers are sorted according to the number of pitched innings, be sure that you haven’t missed the injured pitchers, or the pitchers who has been shifted from relievers to starters, or those who haven’t pitched enough innings. As he might be placed on the top of the list, among the best pitchers of the league, until he is played enough innings and “rolled down”. You should pay attention to it especially at the beginning of a season.

After the elimination by means of these three criteria, from 15 daily games we need to leave only from 3 to 9 underdogs, to bet on them. Using our pattern, you bet 20$ on moneyline of each game.

Remember, that you are a bettor, and you should have an access to more than one bookmaker, the “real” bookmakers or/and “online” bookmakers, and it is very important.

The coefficient can be varied by some bookmakers, and you need to bet only having the best chances. For instance, if you bet on 5 games for a day, you can divide them into two web sites and three local “real” bookmakers, depending on whose offers are better.

When I lavished praise (in the previous article) upon the advantages of the baseball stakes and hockey stakes, I deliberately forgot to mention about the great value of betting on the underdogs moneylines. I have waited till now, knowing that this chapter deals only with this theme.

I had never understood the power of underdogs until I met Andrew in Las Vegas. He is a professional player, but he “works” only six months per year, during the baseball season. Andrew live – and live well – on the money, which he earns during the season. He receives the profit, at the average, in amount of 20 000$ per month.

Quite well, he doesn’t even work, as it is pretty difficult for him, he just earns his money during a baseball season. All these things take him about 15 minutes in the mornings, in order to choose his bets during the day, before he goes to play golf or spend some time at home with his wife and children till the noon.

As soon as I saw this way of money making, and recognized how easy he did it, I told Andrew that I had to acquaint myself with his method. At first he refused, like a granny who doesn’t want to tell anybody the recipe of her pie. But as the most people who have a great secret, he finally revealed it.

He appeared to bet only on baseball and only on underdogs.

And as I said, to decide what team this day to stake on, he needs less time than to walk from the first hole to the second one on a golf field. Much less time, in fact, as Andrew is not a good golf player .

Now I am going to tell you his secret, which I have modified a little to maximize the gain. I call it, “The Baseball Underdog System”.

The Main Principles of Baseball Betting Strategy

Baseball offers you two types of betting on a match result:

• moneylines
• runlines

When you bet on runline, you receive the combination of moneyline and the given odds are 1.5 runs, which are added to your bet. To win a runline bet, the favorite team has to win, having at least two more runs than the opponent team.

If your team wins, but the score difference will be less than 2 runs, you will lose your bet. On the other hand, underdogs receive additional 1.5 runs, and you will win the stake if they win or lose the game with a difference in 1 run.

By adding 1.5 run handicap to the bet, you receive an opportunity to bet less money on the favorite team to win the same prize. For instance, the game with a standard moneyline on the favorite (-260) may have a coefficient on the runline from (-1.5) to -140.

The payments runline underdogs are decreased because of the given odds +1.5 runs.

Runlines are most useful for the games with a big moneyline coefficient on the favorite team. But before you make a bet on a runline, you should know some interesting facts about the games, finished with a difference in one run (One-Run-Games).